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« Bredesen: I Was Beatable in '06 | Main | The Future of Newspapers Looks Bloggy »

April 5, 2005

City Paper: TennCare Mess May Make Bredesen Vulnerable

Today's Nashville City Paper says in an editorial what I've been saying for weeks now: TennCare is Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen's greatest political vulnerability.

Once thought invincible, Governor Bredesen will now have to answer GOP charges that while lauding TennCare reform passed in the legislature on behalf of Democratic candidates, he already knew he was going to slash some 323,000 from the program.

It is a charge that may be hard to refute. House Minority Leader Tre’ Hargett (R-Bartlett) points out that just a week after the election, lawmakers were called to Nashville for an emergency leadership meeting about TennCare. Senator Ron Ramsey (R-Blountville) said he remembered Bredesen saying in that meeting that he’d known for a month he was going to kick people off the rolls, but didn’t bring it up until after the election.

It will be interesting to see if the GOP can make much hay out of the charge.

... What he knew and when he knew it may not be as big a problem for Bredesen as the fact that he ran on a platform to reform TennCare when, in fact, he is now seeking to dismantle the program.

... The other unknown right now is whether TennCare is enough of an emotional issue to sway large numbers of voters.

Phil Bredesen won the governor's office by about 58,000 votes. He is poised to cut 323,000 poor, sick and old Tennesseans off of the TennCare rolls instead of reforming the program to maintain some level of healthcare coverage for most of them. I'd wager that the majority of those 323,000 people were Democratic voters, given their demographics.

Just how many people whom Bredesen cuts from the TennCare rolls will vote for him in 2005 are going to vote for him come November 2006?

Zero.

Just how many of their family members who voted for Bredesen in 2002 are going to vote for Bredesen in 2006?

Zero.

How many of those Democratic voters who he cuts from TennCare will vote for a Republican candidate who puts forth a realistic plan to provide a healthcare safety net for those who really need it? More than a few.

There IS a market-based approach to provide healthcare to those who can't afford or get healthcare coverage without government assistance. South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford has proposed just such a plan. He's a Republican. A conservative Republican. A fiscal and socialconservative. And he's popular.

Memo to the Tennessee GOP: Find your Mark Sanford. Bredesen is beatable.

UPDATE: More on this here from the Kingsport Times News.

"Everybody is going to know somebody affected by the disenrollment. When that starts happening, that's when it will be interesting to see the fallout," Hargett said.
Yep. That's dangerous ground for a governor who was elected because of his promise to repair TennCare, but who now plans only to kick people off the rolls and hope they don't get to the polls on Nov. 6, 2006.
____________________________________________________________
For more scrutiny of the Bredesen record, see Bredesen Watch.

Posted in Bredesen Watch | Linked By |
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Comments

Good comments Mr. Hobbs.

Today this was posted on Lucianne:

Dixie Diss For Hillary
NYPost, by DEBORAH ORIN

WASHINGTON — A popular Democratic
governor from the South has raised
eyebrows by saying that Democrats should
look beyond Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton
for the 2008 White House race because
people want "something different."
Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen — seen by
some as a potential dark-horse presidential
contender — said voters are "kind of
dissatisfied" with all current Democratic
2008 prospects...

Of course, I don't think Mr. Bredesen has presidential intentions or viability. But in looking at the situation, you could see how Democrats would come up with such a strategy, i.e. "let's pick a yankee liberal born and bred in our northern nirvana who has managed to set up camp in the south--and maybe, just maybe we could pass him off as a bubba."

Gov. Bredesen's comments from the NYPost may well be in response to his failing performance on Tenncare. He is feeling vulnerable and is looking for a way to hold on to those numerous GOP voters who pulled the lever for him specifically to deal with TennCare.

Bashing Hillary Clinton is always a good way to keep a GOP voter happy.


Posted by: Terry at April 5, 2005 09:18 AM

How does a market-based healthcare system work for people who don't have money?

Posted by: SemiPundit at April 5, 2005 09:41 AM
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