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« The Missing | Main | Why Do They Hate Us? » June 15, 2004And The Winner Is...Tim Cavanaugh says: When U.S. troops are in the field, the candidate perceived as more hawkish always wins. If you can find an instance where this was not the case, let me know.And yes, that includes the election of 1968. For the record, I think Cavanaugh's prediction is right. Posted in Campaign Season
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It's a nice thought, but untrue.
Actually you just reaffirmed the point Cavanaugh was making. Yes, more troops were deployed overseas during the Clinton years but these were all peacekeeping/nation building deployments - what you referred to as "meals on wheels" deployments (quite apropos btw). The only "hot" deployment during the first term was Somalia - which started as a humanitarian deployment under Bush I but ended with the Mogadishu fiasco in October 1993 - three years before the general election. By the time Dole and Clinton faced off Americans were enjoying a robust economy and thoughts of war were far from the public's mind. Two events that could have changed things for Dole, Rwanda and Kosovo. Unfortunately for the Rwandan's the genocide there was widely ignored by the parochial American press while it was treated by State as a U.N. problem. The Clinton State Department managed to keep Kosovo off the table as an issue at the Dayton Accords in 1995, so when Dole and Clinton faced off there were no pressing hot deployments. That left Dole, by far the bigger hawk, arguing domestic policy - Clinton's strength. Of course all this was pre-9/11. Now, despite the efforts of a cheerleading media that's done everything but announce for Kerry, the bulk of Americans recognize that we're at war. Between Kerry and Bush the obvious choice for most hawks will be Bush - even those that don't care for his domestic policy will hold their nose and vote for Bush over Kerry. Posted by: Robert Modean at June 15, 2004 09:14 PMPost a comment
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