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May 6, 2008

Obama Wins For Losing

Regarding Tuesday's Democrat primaries in North Carolina and Indiana: Barack Obama won another state in which he has virtually chance to defeat John McCain to win in November, while Hilary Clinton wins another swing state. North Carolina was won twice by Reagan, twice by the first George Bush, twice by the second George Bush, and even by Bob Dole in 1996. Indiana, on the other hand, went for Reagan twice and George W. Bush twice, but voted for the first George Bush only once, in 1988, then gave its votes to Clinton twice.

Obama continues to lead in the Dem delegate count because he keeps winning primaries in states he is virtually certain to lose in the fall - states like Alabama, Alaska, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Missouri, Utah, Louisiana and Mississippi. Clinton, meanwhile, keeps winning swing states the Dems have to have to win in November.

UPDATE: I'm wrong. Indiana didn't go for Clinton twice. It went for Bush 1 twice, and then Dole.

But the overall picture is still that Obama is winning big in states he likely can't win in November.

Posted in Campaign Season

Comments

So screw the people who voted for Obama?

Posted by: Hassan at May 6, 2008 11:10 PM

I disagree. I think the Democrats have a better shot at winning NC than Indiana. And Obama will be changing the map. Right now Obama is within striking distance of McCain in Texas! Imagine a state like Texas in play. Obama changes everything. I think we must move past this "blue state" "red state" mentality. All states need to move forward.

Posted by: Mr. Music at May 7, 2008 12:05 AM

Mistake here. Indiana has not voted Democrat for President since Goldwater in 1964. George H.W. Bush carried the state over Clinton in 1992, 43%-37% and Dole beat Clinton in 1996, 47-42%. North Carolina last went Democrat in 1976.

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/

Posted by: D.J. Jones at May 7, 2008 9:30 PM
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