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November 4, 2007

TACIR Report Comes Under More Fire

tnflag.jpgThe Shelbyville Times-Gazette continues to expose questionable data in the recent report released by the Tennessee Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations estimating the cost of future public infrastructure needs across the state.

But while TACIR corrected figures for Bedford County schools, other amounts remain unchanged. Local officials are still scratching their heads, wondering where TACIR got its data. One utility said it has not even submitted data to the state body.

The report claims that officials in Bedford County reported their top areas of need to be transportation at $87.1 million and water and wastewater at $21.1 million. David Crowell, general manager of Shelbyville Power, Water and Sewer, told the T-G Wednesday that his office had not sent any records to anyone regarding infrastructure. "I guess we need to find where these came from," he said, speaking about the TACIR figures.

In case you are wondering who TACIR is, they are a "think tank" of sorts, except they are a part of state government rather than independent. Because of the way TACIR is organized, Democrats have long dominated the selection process for TACIR members, and TACIR has tended to issue reports favoring Democrat/bigger government proposals. A few years ago, TACIR spent a lot of taxpayers' dollars creating and issuing reports designed to push for the creation of a state income tax.

Given that that TACIR report is guaranteed to be used in coming years to support calls for higher taxes, and given that all the problems being exposed with the latest TACIR report just involving its data from one of Tennessee's 99 counties, the media across Tennessee needs to dig into the rest of the report and find out if the Bedford County errors are an isolated problem or the tip of the iceberg with the report. Republicans in the legislature may wish to hold hearings on the report's data errors and methodology before accepting any of its conclusions as accurate.


Comments

The census bureau projections from table 2b for student population 5 to 19 shows a huge sag in the band from 2000 to 2010. This is not the school population but the change in population.

This is a little freightening. In the band from 2000 to 2010, the Tennessee share would be roughly (6/302) or 9616.5. If you figure 600 per school, that would mean that only 16 schools would be needed in the whole state from 2000 to 2010!

In the next decade, 137 new schools would be needed. This assumes you keep up the existing schools. Of course this estimate does not include extra space needed for the governors pre-k schemes.

2000-2010-------- 479,000
2010-2020--------4,146,000
2020-2030--------4,877,000
2030-2040--------4,494,000
2040-2050--------5,740,000

Here is another example of school population estimates being too high: LINK

Posted by: Danny L. Newton at November 5, 2007 3:08 PM
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