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August 14, 2006

Laffer All The Way To The Bank

Arthur Laffer Sr., considered the father of "supply side" economics (the academic foundation for tax cuts ever since the Reagan era), is moving his consulting firm from San Diego to Nashville. The Tennessean has the details. Laffer is the father of the "Laffer Curve," an illustration demonstrating that lower tax rates can sometimes generate higher tax revenues than higher tax rates, and his economic theories laid the foundation for the Reagan tax cuts and resulting economic boom (and explosion in federal tax revenues). But he isn't the the father of the economic theory that leads to lowering taxes to spur ecoomic and revenue growth. Students of American history know that President John F. Kennedy followed a very similar economic course as Reagan - cutting personal and corporate taxes to spur the economy.

That's right. Reaganomics was really just a repeat of the economics of Camelot.

Which was really just a repeat of 14th Century Muslim economics, as Laffer explained in an article published by the Heritage Foundation in 2004:

The Laffer Curve, by the way, was not invented by me. For example, Ibn Khaldun, a 14th century Muslim philosopher, wrote in his work The Muqaddimah: "It should be known that at the beginning of the dynasty, taxation yields a large revenue from small assessments. At the end of the dynasty, taxation yields a small revenue from large assessments."
Laffer's article goes on to note that JFK wasn't even the first American president to try Reaganomics Kennedynomics 14th Century Muslimnomics cutting taxes to spur economic and revenue growth:
Over the past 100 years, there have been three major periods of tax-rate cuts in the U.S.: the Harding-Coolidge cuts of the mid-1920s; the Kennedy cuts of the mid-1960s; and the Reagan cuts of the early 1980s. Each of these periods of tax cuts was remarkably successful as measured by virtually any public policy metric.
The article backs up that assertion with data, and also discusses taxation and economic policy at the state level, noting that in fiscal year 2003 most every state in the nation was facing budget problems - but states with high tax rates and states with income taxes fared worse than did states with lower tax rates and states with no income taxes.

Wrote Laffer:

States with high rates of taxation tended to have greater problems than states with lower tax rates. California, New Jersey, and New York--three large states with relatively high tax rates--were among those states with the largest budget gaps. In contrast, Florida and Texas--two large states with no personal income tax at all--somehow found themselves with relatively few fiscal problems when preparing their budgets.
Laffer doesn't say it, but Tennessee, which has no state income tax, faced a relatively small budget shortfall in fiscal year 2003, especially compared to states with state income taxes and higher tax rates.

Welcome to Tennessee, Mr. Laffer. Our state's economic policies will be better for your influence.

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Comments

I've heard Laffer interviewed many times. He's a very sharp guy.

I'd love to buy him lunch some day.

Posted by: jimmy at August 14, 2006 10:51 AM

A good friend of mine lived in Minnesota. He was fed up with the taxes and the cold winters didn't ease his pain. so he set out to relocate somewhere in the U.S.

He ruled out several states quickly like Kalifornya. Number one criteria was taxes. States with income taxes hit the floor. States without made his list.

He took the opprotunity to visit as many states on his list. Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Texas, Washington, Wyoming and Tennessee. Alaska, too cold and New Hampshire was in the NE.

Tennessee won out.

41 other states never made the list.

Posted by: Rick Forman at August 15, 2006 10:44 AM

That would be my only reason to advocate a state income tax: Tennessee is being disproportionately deluged by people migration because of our lack of one. Growth does not pay for itself. Current residents pay for it. So you're gonna pay one way or another, state income tax or not. And we pay in ways other than the financial.

Posted by: Donna Locke at August 15, 2006 2:06 PM
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